Today’s Second Life Open Source announcement seems like a
good time to follow up 0.500 average from last year with a new set of fearless
predictions for 2007. So, here we go:
1) Intel and AMD’s battle in the MIPS/watt game will take
servers below 30 watts/core
2) Second Life’s peak concurrency, currently at 25,000, will
reach 150,000
3) Graphics cards will be released with small batch
rendering and unified texture memory thanks to John Carmack and others
4) A Second Life development company, such as Electric Sheep
or Rivers Run Red, will surpass 100 employees
5) Exchanges within MMORPGs and virtual worlds will still not
be taxed until converted into real-world currency
6) At least one Presidential candidate will use Second Life
to build a community around issues rather than simply holding a single press
conference
7) AACS will get pwned and at least one major Hollywood studio will experiment with downloading
unencrypted DVDs
8) Relay for Life will raise over US$200k in Second Life
this year
9) Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows will have more US$ sales [edit: thanks Chris] on its release day than any book, movie or video game in history
10) Dmitri will agree that I have won my quarter by the end
of the year
And, of course, the free one is that the Open Source viewer will be used in ways that none of us would have predicted.
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